Richard Gowan is a research associate and program coordinator of
International Security Institutions at the Center on International Cooperation
at New York University where he works on peacekeeping and multilateral security arrangements.
He recently served as the keynote speaker at a Young Global Leaders Summit at the University
of Denver cosponsored by the Stanley Foundation and
Americans for Informed Democracy.
One of the
most worrying trends in current American political debate is a creeping isolationism.
This is not the isolationism of the 1930s—the principled, if misguided, belief
that the US should cut itself off from European power politics—but a weary
sense that international engagement just isn’t working. The leading presidential
candidates outbid one another with promises to bring troops home from Iraq and set
firm limits on free trade.
Yet this trend
is balanced by a residual sense that the US has global commitments it cannot
desert yet—and these demand a better mix of American soft and hard power. One of
the most prominent foreign policy themes of pre-presidential debates has been
the need to get UN troops to Darfur. Hillary
Clinton has “an aggressive plan to support public schools in developing
countries” while Mitt Romney’s anti-jihad strategy centers on a “Special
Partnership Force” that will win over foreign communities and leaders through “humanitarian
and development assistance and rule of law capacity building.”
Such
proposals leave outside observers scratching their heads. Ask the average
anti-American to name the pillars of US international policy, and
they’ll pick two: military power and unbridled capitalism. But the country’s
leaders-in-waiting are talking about troop withdrawals and economic
protectionism—and promoting social democratic goods like public schooling and
development aid. Is the US
turning into a gigantic Sweden?
Well, no,
not really. But in the wake of the Iraqi debacle, the country’s leading
politicians and policy intellectuals are turning toward a concept that wouldn’t
have got a hearing in Washington
in 2003. This is “human security”—the idea that a country’s foreign policy
should not just be about defending its national interests but also protecting
vulnerable people worldwide from the risks of poverty, disease, natural
disasters, and mass slaughter.
It’s a very
broad idea and one that’s too often dismissed as naïve. For security hawks, it
doesn’t help that the concept has been advocated by countries like Japan (pacifist), Switzerland
(neutralist), and Canada
(Canadian). And if that wasn’t bad enough, it’s become a popular theme in the
EU’s foreign policy dialogue. In 2004, a high-level European panel proposed an
EU “Human Security Force” of 15,000 troops, police, and humanitarian workers—could
Romney’s team have looked across the Atlantic
for ideas?
But human
security isn’t just tripe. The reality is that there is a hardheaded case for the
idea, and it is one that may prove increasingly urgent in the years ahead. International
risk analysts agree that some of the most dangerous crises of the near future
will not involve traditional state-on-state warfare, but a mixture of
unpredictable threats.
An avian
flu pandemic could not only kill millions in its own right, but undermine weak
states and threaten to shut down global trade networks. Basic resource
shortages—such as the lack of water that plagues Darfur,
potentially obstructing any peace settlement—stimulate conflicts that cannot be
managed through diplomatic or military means alone.
These
challenges demand a vast variety of responses. They range from increasing
international capacity for humanitarian aid—including, in the case of major
disease, huge medical efforts—to building up fragile economies and governments.
“Human security forces” have the potential to grab headlines, but if a society
is to survive a pandemic, drought, or famine, it needs resilient local
authorities and a robust economic infrastructure.
When you
start this “to-do” list for human security, the concrete reasons for concern
are immediately obvious—yet the scale of the tasks involved also looks
overwhelming. It’s one thing for a presidential candidate to promise a major
schools program for the poor, or even urge the UN to send non-American troops
to Darfur. But it would be electoral suicide
to lay out frankly the litany of current global challenges, the costs involved
in confronting them, and the difficulties in predicting which risks will turn
into real crises.
Yet the
next US
president will still be in a position to create momentum on human security in
three ways. Firstly, she or he could make a series of targeted investments
aimed at areas of particular urgency. One example would be making up for
chronic international under-investment in influenza vaccines, thereby
reassuring the international community that the US is ready to take the lead in
tackling oncoming pandemics.
Secondly, such
displays of US
leadership should be balanced by closer cooperation on planning for future
crises (and bearing their costs) with other players like the EU. Washington may find it has friends in unexpected places
on human security—the Chinese military has been quietly talking to its US counterparts
in the Pacific about avian flu.
Thirdly,
the US needs to ground this international cooperation in a sense of mutual
trust based on effective diplomacy through the UN and other international
organizations—not least because the UN’s own assets include essential agencies
involved in resolving human security issues, from the World Food Programme to
the World Health Organization.
Investing
political and financial capital in such cooperation won’t be easy—some version
of isolationism may seem cheaper and easier to sell to the voters. But the
challenges involved are inescapable: human security needs to move up the US political
agenda.
—Richard Gowan